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DEFINITION:
An investment strategy used to reduce financial risk or the
possibility of loss. For example, an investor owning stocks could
hedge those long positions by owning protective options or short
(inverse)
equity funds.
MY HEDGING STRATEGY: Using an inverse
Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) position to cover 80-95% of all long
position in order to reduce risk or loss of capital. The fund I prefer
is @SH - SPDRs inverse S&P500 index. Note: I never use leveraged
inverse funds like SDS - ProShares Ultra Short S&P500 index.
EQUITY POSITIONS DEFINED: Each portfolio
allocation is equally divided into position trades and long
investments. For a $15,000 portfolio, about $7,000, the long
investment, is
covered by an inverse Exchange Traded Fund. A position trade is like a
swing trade - 1-2 week holding period. A long position is an
investment and I hold until it gets stopped out.
INVERSE EXCHANGE TRADED FUND: I prefer
to use the S&P500 inverse ETF @SH for all my protection of long
positions. I never use very risky leveraged Exchange Traded Funds (Ultra),
because my intention are to preserve capital and not to hit a home run (betting on making
money).
WHEN TO USE HEDGING: I use inverse
ETFs after all my swing trades (50% of portfolio) have been sold or
have stopped out, plus the market must be in a down trend - usually the
Relative Strength (RSI) signaled a change of trend.
WHEN TO SELL INVERSE POSITIONS: This
is the most difficult decision one will encounter when using these
funds. But in all cases one must keep in mind, not to hold these funds
to make a huge profit or any profit at all for this matter. I like to
put a tight stop limit order on these inverse positions after the long
positions have been sold - just in case the market reverses its trend.
In most cases I usually start selling about 1/2 of the inverse
position using a stop/limit order.
EXIT & RE-PURCHASE LONG
POSITIONS: Long positions (investments)
will sell off after they have crossed the 7% down trend threshold from
the last highest closing price. Should the market correction continues
lower, one would need to follow the down trend to recognize a reversal
in the trend to re-purchase equities. At this time the 7% exit point
is not valid anymore and as such a 2% tight stop from the purchase
price should be used until a clear uptrend and new high closing price
has been established, usually after a 7% gain from the lowest closing
price.
HOW TO TAKE
PROFIT: During a market
correction, there is not really a chance to make a profit. As such,
the hedging objective is to preserve capital. When the market keeps
going down, one will have profits for the short positions, but it is
offset by the losses in the long position - it's like a balancing act.
Therefore timing is of up most importance when to sell one or the
other.
TRADING AROUND A CORE
POSITION: During an ongoing market consolidation or correction, I like to take
profit for inverse funds after all long positions (investments) have been sold.
When the trading price gets close to a 2% gain
from the highest closing price, I place a limit sell order for about
1/2 of my holdings. After taking a profit, I may add
again to my holdings. This strategy I call "trading around a core
position". I use strategy only for inverse ETFs. The basic idea is to
avoid putting myself in a position where I have too much on the table
in case the ETF gets swatted down, or to little on the table to take
advantage of any upside that comes my way.
IN SUMMARY: During a market
correction, one has two choices - sell all positions and keep the
money on the sideline or hedge the long positions to preserve capital
and reduce the risk of losing. I prefer the latter, hedge the long
positions. Because when the market reverses it's trend, I would be in
the game instead of watching on the side line. One may have some more
loses, but on the end it's easier to gain it back.
FINAL JUDGMENT: I always sell some of
the short positions first (stop/limit order), before selling the long
positions. Always watch the trend - charts don't lie, fundamentals may
fool you. And remember: "you need to know, what you're going to do
next" and when in doubt, stay out!. It's generally better to
lose out on profits, than to lose money |